Sunday, February 6, 2011

GOP poised to win Senate

By Dick Morris of Newsmax on Feb. 4:
I know we predicted Republican Senate control in 2010. Republicans did gain seven seats and came within four of winning control. Razor-thin defeats in Colorado and Washington and unexpected thrashings in Nevada and West Virginia proved us wrong.

But this time — honest — we are going to win!

The battlegrounds in 2012 are a lot more red and less blue than in 2010. If we switch seats in North Dakota, Florida, Nebraska, Virginia, and Montana — red states all — we get control by 52-48.

And the way 2012 is shaping up, Republican control is more and more likely.

Start with retirements. Kent Conrad, the North Dakota liberal twin of retired Byron Dorgan, has announced that he won't run again. That seat is a sure GOP pickup.

Jim Webb, D-Va., has raised very little money, speaks with ambivalence about Obama's programs, and has not yet decided whether to run. George Allen's announced challenge to his re-election should cool him off even further and he'll probably drop out. Not a sure pickup but, if the Republican Party nominates Allen — and not some latter day Christine O'Donnell — we should be all right.

Herbert Kohl, the Wisconsin Democratic octogenarian, may also not run. He hasn't raised money but did lend his campaign $1 million to fill up his bank account. But loans can be repaid. Kohl may well retire.

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